Interest on the debt is about to pass Social Security, and Peter Schiff explains why the Fed is trapped and QE is coming back.
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Next year, interest on the national debt passes Social Security, and the Fed has no way to fight the inflation that follows.
Peter Schiff breaks down Wednesday’s Fed decision. Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.75% to 4% while calling the economy strong, admitting inflation is still too high and conceding that policy is accommodative. After one 25 basis point hike against a 125 basis point rise in inflation, Peter calls it what it is: the Kevin Warsh show, tough talk with nothing behind it.
The real constraint is the debt. Interest has already passed defense and is on track to pass Social Security next year, even if rates hold. Hiking enough to beat inflation would push the interest bill toward $3 to $4 trillion against barely $5 trillion in tax revenue, so the Fed is boxed in: the hike cycle gets abandoned and QE comes back. Peter also covers gold below $4,000 and silver below $50 as a buying opportunity, the AI selloff hitting Alphabet, Intel and the Mag 7, and why a Democratic Congress will mean bigger deficits, not gridlock.
Chapters:
00:00 Debt Interest Time Bomb
01:08 Back From New Orleans
02:16 Gold Silver Shock Drop
04:28 Fed Holds Rates Steady
05:50 Tough Talk No Action
11:38 Politics And The Pause
16:47 Warsh As Fed Puppet
21:58 Inflation Worsens Ahead
24:16 Democrats Congress Risks
28:10 No Gridlock Ahead
29:19 Blame Game Strategy
31:22 Voters Blame President
32:26 Federal Aid Threats
34:30 Five Thousand Checks Pitch
36:04 AI CapEx Market Cracks
38:36 Fed Pause Then QE
40:24 Deficits Pressure Bonds
42:38 Oil SPR And Metals
46:10 Warsh Is All Talk
47:10 Why Rates Cant Rise
52:53 Gold Silver Call To Act
54:58 Puerto Rico Tax Angle
56:24 Wrap Up And X Spaces
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